Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Tulane Green Wave
Thursday, February 26, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Tulsa Golden Hurricane (22-6 (12-2)) traveling to take on Tulane Green Wave (17-10 (10-6)) at Devlin Fieldhouse, New Orleans, LA. The Tulsa hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Tulane by 13.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
On offense, Tulane averages 73.1 points per game, which exceeds what the Tulsa defense typically allows (73.1 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Tulsa offense puts up 85.9 PPG and faces a Tulane defense allowing 73.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Tulane will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Tulsa to win by approximately 7.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Tulane winning by 6 to losing by 20.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
TLSA Tulsa
Stat
TULN Tulane
22-6 (12-2)
Record
17-10 (10-6)
Last 10
85.9
PPG
73.1
73.1
Opp PPG
73.5
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Tulsa Golden Hurricane | -225 | -5.5 ↓ | O 155.5 |
| TULN Tulane Green Wave | +185 | +5.5 ↑ | U 155.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 26, 4:53 AM
Opening line: +4.5 / O/U 155.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Tulsa Golden Hurricane | -189 | -7.1 | O 159 |
| TULN Tulane Green Wave | +189 | +7.1 | U 159 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 25, 9:37 PM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: 7.1 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 159 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Tulane enters at 17-10 (10-6), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
Tulsa comes in with an impressive 22-6 (12-2) record. They've been among the best teams in their conference and are playing with the confidence of a squad that expects to win. Road games can be tricky, but this team has the poise to handle hostile environments.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Tulane
Advantages
- Strong 17-10 (10-6) overall record this season
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Tulsa
Advantages
- Strong 22-6 (12-2) overall record this season
- Potent offense averaging 85.9 PPG
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels