Bucknell Bison vs Army Black Knights

This NCAAB matchup features Bucknell Bison (8-21 (5-8)) traveling to take on Army Black Knights (11-18 (6-9)) at Christl Arena, West Point, NY. The Army hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Bucknell by 5.1 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Army averages 72.6 points per game, but they face a Bucknell defense that holds opponents to 76.8 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Bucknell scores 66.7 PPG but faces a Army defense that limits opponents to 77.5 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Army will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.8-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Army winning by 16 to losing by 10. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Army has struggled this season at 11-18 (6-9). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Bucknell at 8-21 (5-8). Traveling to face Army presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.