Editorial & AI Transparency Policy
SharpBetz is a machine-learning prediction site, and we believe you deserve to know exactly how the sausage is made. This page describes what is generated, what is measured, what is reviewed, and what we do when we get things wrong.
What our system generates
Every game prediction on this site — projected spreads, totals, win probabilities, picks, and the accompanying analysis text — is produced by our statistical model and content pipeline from real game data: team statistics, rolling form, schedules, market odds, ballpark factors, and (for baseball) starting-pitcher performance. No prediction is ever written by gut feel, and none is edited after the fact to look smarter than it was.
What is measured, not claimed
- Every pick is graded. Once a game finishes, the result is recorded against the pick automatically and published on our results page — wins, losses, and pushes alike. Nothing is deleted or restated.
- Models must pass gates before going live. A new model is evaluated on games it has never seen. If it can't beat break-even on that holdout, it doesn't ship. We have rejected more models than we have activated, and we document those rejections publicly.
- Odds are archived. Opening and closing lines are stored on each prediction so anyone can audit our picks against the closing market.
What humans do
People build and audit the system: choosing model features, setting the statistical gates a model must pass, reviewing content templates, writing the educational guides' analytical framing, and investigating anomalies. Guide articles are produced with AI assistance against our own database and reviewed for accuracy before publishing; the numbers in them come from measured data, with sample sizes shown.
Corrections
When we find a defect that affected published predictions, we fix it and say so plainly. Example: in July 2026 we discovered our baseball fallback model was applying basketball parameters, which made every MLB home team look like a heavy favorite. We corrected the model the same day, regenerated the affected slate, and left the graded history intact — the bad picks stay on our record, because a track record you can edit is not a track record.
What we will not do
- No fabricated experts, bylines, or testimonials.
- No cherry-picked records or deleted losing streaks.
- No "guaranteed locks" language — no honest handicapper has one.
- No content whose only purpose is to carry advertising.
Advertising & independence
This site is supported by advertising. Advertisers have no input into our predictions, model design, or grading. If we ever add affiliate links to sportsbooks, they will be labeled as such on the page where they appear.
Responsible gambling
Sports betting involves real financial risk and should be treated as entertainment, never income. You must be 21+ to wager where it is legal. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit our responsible gambling resources.
Questions about this policy? Contact us. Last updated July 12, 2026.