Morgan State Bears vs South Carolina State Bulldogs

This NCAAB matchup features Morgan State Bears (11-14 (7-5)) traveling to take on South Carolina State Bulldogs (7-19 (6-4)) at Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center, Orangeburg, SC. The Morgan St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the SC State by 10.9 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. SC State averages 66.0 points per game, but they face a Morgan St defense that holds opponents to 78.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Morgan St scores 75.2 PPG but faces a SC State defense that limits opponents to 80.0 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and SC State will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Morgan St to win by approximately 3.2 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from SC State winning by 10 to losing by 16. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

SC State has struggled this season at 7-19 (6-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Morgan St at 11-14 (7-5). Traveling to face SC State presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.