Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Boston College Eagles

This NCAAB matchup features Wake Forest Demon Deacons (14-14 (10-6)) traveling to take on Boston College Eagles (10-18 (9-7)) at Conte Forum, Chestnut Hill, MA. The Wake Forest hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Boston College by 5.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Boston College averages 67.7 points per game, but they face a Wake Forest defense that holds opponents to 76.9 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Wake Forest offense puts up 79.3 PPG and faces a Boston College defense allowing 70.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Boston College will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Boston College winning by 15 to losing by 10. The market has this game at +3.5, but our model sees value on Boston College with a 5.9-point edge. Our line: Boston College -2.4. Combined with the total projection of 147 versus the market line of 140.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Boston College has struggled this season at 10-18 (9-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Wake Forest sits at 14-14 (10-6) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.