Seattle U Redhawks vs Pepperdine Waves

This NCAAB matchup features Seattle U Redhawks (17-12 (13-4)) traveling to take on Pepperdine Waves (8-21 (6-9)) at Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA. The Seattle U hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Pepperdine by 13.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Pepperdine averages 71.6 points per game, which exceeds what the Seattle U defense typically allows (67.2 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Seattle U scores 72.4 PPG but faces a Pepperdine defense that limits opponents to 79.4 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Pepperdine will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Seattle U to win by approximately 4.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Pepperdine winning by 9 to losing by 17. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Pepperdine has struggled this season at 8-21 (6-9). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Seattle U sits at 17-12 (13-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.