Queens University Royals vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels

This NCAAB matchup features Queens University Royals (18-12 (12-2)) traveling to take on Eastern Kentucky Colonels (11-19 (8-6)) at Baptist Health Arena, Richmond, KY. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. E Kentucky averages 80.6 points per game, but they face a Queens defense that holds opponents to 83.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Queens offense puts up 84.6 PPG and faces a E Kentucky defense allowing 81.6 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and E Kentucky will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.0-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from E Kentucky winning by 15 to losing by 11. The market has this game at +1.5, but our model sees value on E Kentucky with a 3.5-point edge. Our line: E Kentucky -2.0. Combined with the total projection of 165 versus the market line of 167.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

E Kentucky has struggled this season at 11-19 (8-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Queens sits at 18-12 (12-2) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.