LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels

This NCAAB matchup features LSU Tigers (15-13 (9-6)) traveling to take on Ole Miss Rebels (11-17 (7-7)) at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss, Oxford, MS. The LSU hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Ole Miss by 6.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Ole Miss averages 74.2 points per game, but they face a LSU defense that holds opponents to 76.3 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The LSU offense puts up 81.0 PPG and faces a Ole Miss defense allowing 75.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Ole Miss will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.3-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Ole Miss winning by 12 to losing by 14. The market has this game at -1.5, but our model sees value on LSU with a 2.8-point edge. Our line: Ole Miss +1.3. Combined with the total projection of 155 versus the market line of 146.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Ole Miss has struggled this season at 11-17 (7-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. LSU sits at 15-13 (9-6) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.