Lipscomb Bisons vs West Georgia Wolves

This NCAAB matchup features Lipscomb Bisons (18-11 (13-1)) traveling to take on West Georgia Wolves (12-16 (8-5)) at The Coliseum, Carrollton, GA. The Lipscomb hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the West Georgia by 9.4 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, West Georgia averages 76.2 points per game, which exceeds what the Lipscomb defense typically allows (75.3 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Lipscomb offense puts up 80.6 PPG and faces a West Georgia defense allowing 80.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and West Georgia will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Lipscomb to win by approximately 5.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from West Georgia winning by 7 to losing by 18. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

West Georgia has struggled this season at 12-16 (8-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Lipscomb sits at 18-11 (13-1) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.