Lafayette Leopards vs Colgate Raiders

This NCAAB matchup features Lafayette Leopards (10-20 (5-9)) traveling to take on Colgate Raiders (17-13 (8-5)) at Cotterell Court, Hamilton, NY. The Colgate hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Lafayette by 8.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Colgate averages 76.7 points per game, which exceeds what the Lafayette defense typically allows (74.1 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Lafayette scores 68.7 PPG but faces a Colgate defense that limits opponents to 74.1 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Colgate will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Colgate to win by approximately 4.2 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Colgate winning by 17 to losing by 8. The market has this game at -8.5, but our model sees value on Lafayette with a 4.2-point edge. Our line: Colgate -4.2. Combined with the total projection of 145 versus the market line of 144.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Colgate enters at 17-13 (8-5), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Lafayette at 10-20 (5-9). Traveling to face Colgate presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.