Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes

This NCAAB matchup features Kansas State Wildcats (11-16 (9-7)) traveling to take on Colorado Buffaloes (15-12 (12-4)) at CU Events Center, Boulder, CO. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Colorado averages 80.1 points per game, but they face a Kansas St defense that holds opponents to 81.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Kansas St offense puts up 80.3 PPG and faces a Colorado defense allowing 78.2 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Colorado will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Colorado to win by approximately 6.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Colorado winning by 19 to losing by 6. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Colorado enters at 15-12 (12-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Kansas St at 11-16 (9-7). Traveling to face Colorado presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.