Wyoming Cowboys vs Boise State Broncos

This NCAAB matchup features Wyoming Cowboys (15-13 (12-4)) traveling to take on Boise State Broncos (17-11 (11-4)) at ExtraMile Arena, Boise, ID. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Boise St averages 78.6 points per game, which exceeds what the Wyoming defense typically allows (73.2 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Wyoming offense puts up 77.7 PPG and faces a Boise St defense allowing 73.9 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Boise St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.7-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Boise St winning by 16 to losing by 10. The market has this game at -7.5, but our model sees value on Wyoming with a 4.8-point edge. Our line: Boise St -2.7. Combined with the total projection of 156 versus the market line of 148.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Boise St enters at 17-11 (11-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Wyoming sits at 15-13 (12-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.