Saint Francis Red Flash vs New Haven Chargers

This NCAAB matchup features Saint Francis Red Flash (6-22 (5-8)) traveling to take on New Haven Chargers (13-15 (8-5)) at Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center, West Haven, CT. The New Haven hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Saint Francis by 8.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. New Haven averages 64.9 points per game, but they face a Saint Francis defense that holds opponents to 81.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Saint Francis offense puts up 71.5 PPG and faces a New Haven defense allowing 66.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and New Haven will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects New Haven to win by approximately 7.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from New Haven winning by 20 to losing by 6. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

New Haven has struggled this season at 13-15 (8-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Saint Francis at 6-22 (5-8). Traveling to face New Haven presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.