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NCAAB

21 Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Eastern Michigan Eagles

Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features No. 21 Miami (OH) RedHawks (27-0 (15-0)) traveling to take on Eastern Michigan Eagles (10-18 (7-5)) at Gervin GameAbove Center, Ypsilanti, MI. The Miami OH hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the E Michigan by 20.1 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. E Michigan averages 71.1 points per game, but they face a Miami OH defense that holds opponents to 74.5 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Miami OH offense puts up 92.3 PPG and faces a E Michigan defense allowing 73.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and E Michigan will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Miami OH to win by approximately 9.7 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from E Michigan winning by 3 to losing by 22. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

M-OH Miami OH
Stat
EMU E Michigan
27-0 (15-0)
Record
10-18 (7-5)
Last 10
92.3
PPG
71.1
74.5
Opp PPG
73.4

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
M-OH Miami (OH) RedHawks
-575 -8.5 O 151.5
EMU Eastern Michigan Eagles
+425 +8.5 U 151.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 25, 4:54 AM
Opening line: +9.5 / O/U 153.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
M-OH Miami (OH) RedHawks
-237 -9.7 O 163.4
EMU Eastern Michigan Eagles
+237 +9.7 U 163.4
Source: Model Updated: Feb 24, 7:04 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: 9.7 | Edge below threshold
Total
Over (opened at 153.5)
69% Confidence

Play to 162.6

Recent Trends

E Michigan has struggled this season at 10-18 (7-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Miami OH comes in with an impressive 27-0 (15-0) record. They've been among the best teams in their conference and are playing with the confidence of a squad that expects to win. Road games can be tricky, but this team has the poise to handle hostile environments. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

E Michigan

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 10-18 (7-5) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Miami OH

Advantages

  • Strong 27-0 (15-0) overall record this season
  • Potent offense averaging 92.3 PPG
  • Ranked #21 nationally — proven quality

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels

More NCAAB Picks for Tuesday, February 24, 2026