Old Dominion Monarchs vs Marshall Thundering Herd

This NCAAB matchup features Old Dominion Monarchs (10-20 (7-6)) traveling to take on Marshall Thundering Herd (19-11 (13-3)) at Cam Henderson Center, Huntington, WV. The Marshall hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Old Dominion by 6.1 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Marshall averages 80.7 points per game, which exceeds what the Old Dominion defense typically allows (77.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Old Dominion scores 75.0 PPG but faces a Marshall defense that limits opponents to 77.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Marshall will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Marshall to win by approximately 3.9 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Marshall winning by 17 to losing by 9. The market has this game at -6.5, but our model sees value on Old Dominion with a 2.6-point edge. Our line: Marshall -3.9. Combined with the total projection of 156 versus the market line of 160.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Marshall enters at 19-11 (13-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Old Dominion at 10-20 (7-6). Traveling to face Marshall presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.