SharpBetz
NCAAB

Marquette Golden Eagles vs Georgetown Hoyas

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Marquette Golden Eagles (10-18 (9-6)) traveling to take on Georgetown Hoyas (13-15 (9-7)) at Capital One Arena, Washington, DC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Georgetown averages 74.7 points per game, but they face a Marquette defense that holds opponents to 77.0 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Marquette offense puts up 75.7 PPG and faces a Georgetown defense allowing 73.2 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Georgetown will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Georgetown to win by approximately 4.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Georgetown winning by 17 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

MARQ Marquette
Stat
GTWN Georgetown
10-18 (9-6)
Record
13-15 (9-7)
Last 10
75.7
PPG
74.7
77.0
Opp PPG
73.2

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
MARQ Marquette Golden Eagles
+145 +4.5 O 148.5
GTWN Georgetown Hoyas
-175 -4.5 U 148.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 25, 4:54 AM
Opening line: -3.5 / O/U 150.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
MARQ Marquette Golden Eagles
+171 +4.1 O 150.5
GTWN Georgetown Hoyas
-171 -4.1 U 150.5
Source: Model Updated: Feb 25, 2:13 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -4.1 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 150.5 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Georgetown has struggled this season at 13-15 (9-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Marquette at 10-18 (9-6). Traveling to face Georgetown presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Georgetown

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 13-15 (9-7) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Marquette

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 75.7 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 10-18 (9-6) record this season

More NCAAB Picks for Wednesday, February 25, 2026