Wagner Seahawks vs Saint Francis Red Flash

This NCAAB matchup features Wagner Seahawks (10-16 (6-5)) traveling to take on Saint Francis Red Flash (6-21 (5-7)) at DeGol Arena, Loretto, PA. The Wagner hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Saint Francis by 8.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Saint Francis averages 72.1 points per game, but they face a Wagner defense that holds opponents to 73.7 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Wagner scores 72.1 PPG but faces a Saint Francis defense that limits opponents to 81.7 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Saint Francis will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Wagner to win by approximately 3.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Saint Francis winning by 10 to losing by 17. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Saint Francis has struggled this season at 6-21 (5-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Wagner at 10-16 (6-5). Traveling to face Saint Francis presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.