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NCAAB

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Final Score Wake Forest 63 - Virginia Tech 82
Spread: W Total: L

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Wake Forest Demon Deacons (14-12 (10-6)) traveling to take on Virginia Tech Hokies (17-10 (12-3)) at Cassell Coliseum, Blacksburg, VA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Virginia Tech averages 78.7 points per game, which exceeds what the Wake Forest defense typically allows (77.0 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Wake Forest offense puts up 79.9 PPG and faces a Virginia Tech defense allowing 74.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Virginia Tech will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Virginia Tech to win by approximately 3.9 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Virginia Tech winning by 18 to losing by 10. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

WAKE Wake Forest
Stat
VT Virginia Tech
14-12 (10-6)
Record
17-10 (12-3)
Last 10
79.9
PPG
78.7
77.0
Opp PPG
74.4

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
WAKE Wake Forest Demon Deacons
+154 +3.5 O 150.5
VT Virginia Tech Hokies
-185 -3.5 U 150.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 21, 10:42 PM
Opening line: -4.5 / O/U 152.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
WAKE Wake Forest Demon Deacons
+185 +3.9 O 158.6
VT Virginia Tech Hokies
-185 -3.9 U 158.6
Source: Model Updated: Feb 21, 5:08 PM

Our Picks

Spread W
Virginia Tech (opened at -4.5)
55% Confidence
Total L
Over (opened at 152.5)
65% Confidence

Recent Trends

Virginia Tech enters at 17-10 (12-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Wake Forest sits at 14-12 (10-6) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Virginia Tech

Advantages

  • Strong 17-10 (12-3) overall record this season
  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 78.7 PPG

Disadvantages

  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Wake Forest

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 79.9 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Defense allows 77.0 PPG — exploitable

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