Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Little Rock Trojans

This NCAAB matchup features Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (17-11 (9-4)) traveling to take on Little Rock Trojans (11-17 (6-4)) at Jack Stephens Center, Little Rock, AR. The SE Missouri hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Little Rock by 8.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Little Rock averages 70.4 points per game, but they face a SE Missouri defense that holds opponents to 70.8 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The SE Missouri offense puts up 75.0 PPG and faces a Little Rock defense allowing 74.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Little Rock will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects SE Missouri to win by approximately 3.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Little Rock winning by 10 to losing by 17. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Little Rock has struggled this season at 11-17 (6-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. SE Missouri sits at 17-11 (9-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.