Portland Pilots vs Seattle U Redhawks
Sunday, February 22, 2026
Final Score Portland 59 - Seattle U 71
Spread: W
Total: L
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Portland Pilots (12-16 (11-6)) traveling to take on Seattle U Redhawks (16-12 (12-4)) at Redhawk Center, Seattle, WA. The Seattle U hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Portland by 8.4 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
Seattle U averages 72.4 points per game, but they face a Portland defense that holds opponents to 79.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Portland offense puts up 75.7 PPG and faces a Seattle U defense allowing 67.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Seattle U will look to leverage their home crowd. The Seattle U are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 10.6-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Seattle U winning by 24 to losing by 3.
The market has this game at -7.5, but our model sees value on Seattle U with a 3.1-point edge. Our line: Seattle U -10.6. Combined with the total projection of 148 versus the market line of 138.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.
Team Comparison
PORT Portland
Stat
SEA Seattle U
12-16 (11-6)
Record
16-12 (12-4)
Last 10
75.7
PPG
72.4
79.2
Opp PPG
67.5
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT Portland Pilots | +295 ↑ | +7.5 | O 140.5 |
| SEA Seattle U Redhawks | -375 ↓ | -7.5 | U 140.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 23, 3:22 AM
Opening line: -7.5 / O/U 138.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT Portland Pilots | +370 | +10.6 | O 148.1 |
| SEA Seattle U Redhawks | -370 | -10.6 | U 148.1 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 21, 5:08 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
Seattle U (opened at -7.5)
53% Confidence
Total
L
Over (opened at 138.5)
69% Confidence
Recent Trends
Seattle U enters at 16-12 (12-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
It's been a difficult season for Portland at 12-16 (11-6). Traveling to face Seattle U presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Seattle U
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Elite defense allowing just 67.5 PPG
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Portland
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 75.7 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 12-16 (11-6) record this season