Old Dominion Monarchs vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles

This NCAAB matchup features Old Dominion Monarchs (10-18 (7-6)) traveling to take on Southern Miss Golden Eagles (14-14 (9-3)) at Reed Green Coliseum, Hattiesburg, MS. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Southern Miss averages 73.4 points per game, but they face a Old Dominion defense that holds opponents to 76.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Old Dominion offense puts up 74.8 PPG and faces a Southern Miss defense allowing 73.3 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Southern Miss will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Southern Miss to win by approximately 4.5 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Southern Miss winning by 18 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Southern Miss enters at 14-14 (9-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Old Dominion at 10-18 (7-6). Traveling to face Southern Miss presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.