North Alabama Lions vs Lipscomb Bisons

This NCAAB matchup features North Alabama Lions (8-18 (4-8)) traveling to take on Lipscomb Bisons (17-11 (12-1)) at Allen Arena, Nashville, TN. The Lipscomb hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the North Alabama by 12.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Lipscomb averages 80.9 points per game, which exceeds what the North Alabama defense typically allows (78.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, North Alabama scores 70.7 PPG but faces a Lipscomb defense that limits opponents to 76.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Lipscomb will look to leverage their home crowd. The Lipscomb are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 10.5-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Lipscomb winning by 24 to losing by 3. The market has this game at -13.5, but our model sees value on North Alabama with a 3.0-point edge. Our line: Lipscomb -10.5. Combined with the total projection of 152 versus the market line of 148.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Lipscomb enters at 17-11 (12-1), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for North Alabama at 8-18 (4-8). Traveling to face Lipscomb presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.