Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights

This NCAAB matchup features Navy Midshipmen (22-6 (13-1)) traveling to take on Army Black Knights (11-17 (6-8)) at Christl Arena, West Point, NY. The Navy hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Army by 15.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Army averages 72.9 points per game, which exceeds what the Navy defense typically allows (63.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Navy scores 74.1 PPG but faces a Army defense that limits opponents to 77.4 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Army will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Navy to win by approximately 7.7 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Army winning by 6 to losing by 21. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Army has struggled this season at 11-17 (6-8). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Navy comes in with an impressive 22-6 (13-1) record. They've been among the best teams in their conference and are playing with the confidence of a squad that expects to win. Road games can be tricky, but this team has the poise to handle hostile environments. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.