Montana State Bobcats vs Idaho State Bengals

This NCAAB matchup features Montana State Bobcats (15-12 (9-2)) traveling to take on Idaho State Bengals (11-17 (7-5)) at Reed Gym, Pocatello, ID. The Montana St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Idaho St by 8.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Idaho St averages 74.2 points per game, which exceeds what the Montana St defense typically allows (71.1 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Montana St offense puts up 77.8 PPG and faces a Idaho St defense allowing 75.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Idaho St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Montana St to win by approximately 3.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Idaho St winning by 10 to losing by 17. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Idaho St has struggled this season at 11-17 (7-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Montana St sits at 15-12 (9-2) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.