Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Coppin State Eagles
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Final Score MD Eastern 65 - Coppin St 71
Spread:
Total:
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks (8-19 (5-2)) traveling to take on Coppin State Eagles (6-21 (2-5)) at Physical Education Complex, Baltimore, MD. The MD Eastern hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Coppin St by 8.8 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
Coppin St averages 65.0 points per game, but they face a MD Eastern defense that holds opponents to 71.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, MD Eastern scores 63.7 PPG but faces a Coppin St defense that limits opponents to 81.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Coppin St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects MD Eastern to win by approximately 3.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Coppin St winning by 11 to losing by 16.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
UMES MD Eastern
Stat
COPP Coppin St
8-19 (5-2)
Record
6-21 (2-5)
Last 10
63.7
PPG
65.0
71.1
Opp PPG
81.2
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | -175 ↓ | -3.5 ↓ | O 128.5 |
| COPP Coppin State Eagles | +145 ↑ | +3.5 ↑ | U 128.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 22, 9:05 PM
Opening line: +2.5 / O/U 127.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | -136 | -3 | O 128.8 |
| COPP Coppin State Eagles | +136 | +3 | U 128.8 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 21, 5:08 PM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: 3 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 128.8 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Coppin St has struggled this season at 6-21 (2-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for MD Eastern at 8-19 (5-2). Traveling to face Coppin St presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Coppin St
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 6-21 (2-5) raises concerns
- Defense allows 81.2 PPG — a vulnerability
MD Eastern
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 8-19 (5-2) record this season