Marshall Thundering Herd vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

This NCAAB matchup features Marshall Thundering Herd (18-10 (12-3)) traveling to take on Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (16-12 (7-5)) at The HTC Center, Conway, SC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Coastal averages 73.2 points per game, but they face a Marshall defense that holds opponents to 76.8 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Marshall offense puts up 80.9 PPG and faces a Coastal defense allowing 71.9 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Coastal will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.5-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Coastal winning by 14 to losing by 13. The market has this game at +1.5, but our model sees value on Coastal with a 2.0-point edge. Our line: Coastal -0.5. Combined with the total projection of 154 versus the market line of 153.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Coastal enters at 16-12 (7-5), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Marshall sits at 18-10 (12-3) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.