Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Colgate Raiders

This NCAAB matchup features Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (11-17 (8-5)) traveling to take on Colgate Raiders (16-12 (7-4)) at Cotterell Court, Hamilton, NY. The Colgate hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Loyola MD by 3.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Colgate averages 75.9 points per game, but they face a Loyola MD defense that holds opponents to 76.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Loyola MD offense puts up 75.2 PPG and faces a Colgate defense allowing 73.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Colgate will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Colgate to win by approximately 4.7 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Colgate winning by 18 to losing by 9. The market has this game at -8.5, but our model sees value on Loyola MD with a 3.8-point edge. Our line: Colgate -4.7. Combined with the total projection of 151 versus the market line of 150.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Colgate enters at 16-12 (7-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Loyola MD at 11-17 (8-5). Traveling to face Colgate presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.