Longwood Lancers vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers

This NCAAB matchup features Longwood Lancers (14-15 (10-4)) traveling to take on Charleston Southern Buccaneers (13-15 (9-3)) at Buccaneer Fieldhouse, Charleston, SC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Charleston So averages 82.7 points per game, which exceeds what the Longwood defense typically allows (72.9 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Longwood scores 76.1 PPG but faces a Charleston So defense that limits opponents to 79.0 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Charleston So will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Charleston So winning by 16 to losing by 11. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Charleston So has struggled this season at 13-15 (9-3). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Longwood at 14-15 (10-4). Traveling to face Charleston So presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.