Le Moyne Dolphins vs Stonehill Skyhawks

This NCAAB matchup features Le Moyne Dolphins (14-14 (8-3)) traveling to take on Stonehill Skyhawks (9-19 (6-4)) at Merkert Gymnasium, South Easton, MA. The Le Moyne hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Stonehill by 4.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Stonehill averages 64.5 points per game, but they face a Le Moyne defense that holds opponents to 73.5 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Le Moyne offense puts up 73.6 PPG and faces a Stonehill defense allowing 68.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Stonehill will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Stonehill winning by 14 to losing by 13. The market has this game at +3.5, but our model sees value on Stonehill with a 3.9-point edge. Our line: Stonehill -0.4. Combined with the total projection of 138 versus the market line of 138.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Stonehill has struggled this season at 9-19 (6-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Le Moyne sits at 14-14 (8-3) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.