Hofstra Pride vs Northeastern Huskies

This NCAAB matchup features Hofstra Pride (18-10 (8-2)) traveling to take on Northeastern Huskies (6-19 (2-8)) at Cabot Center, Boston, MA. The Hofstra hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Northeastern by 15.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Northeastern averages 74.6 points per game, which exceeds what the Hofstra defense typically allows (66.9 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Hofstra scores 75.9 PPG but faces a Northeastern defense that limits opponents to 80.9 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Northeastern will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Hofstra to win by approximately 7.4 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Northeastern winning by 6 to losing by 21. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Northeastern has struggled this season at 6-19 (2-8). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Hofstra sits at 18-10 (8-2) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.