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NCAAB

Eastern Washington Eagles vs Portland State Vikings

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Final Score E Washington 67 - Portland St 55
Spread: L Total: L

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Eastern Washington Eagles (10-17 (6-3)) traveling to take on Portland State Vikings (18-7 (10-2)) at Viking Pavilion, Portland, OR. The Portland St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the E Washington by 10.7 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Portland St averages 77.7 points per game, but they face a E Washington defense that holds opponents to 80.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The E Washington offense puts up 78.0 PPG and faces a Portland St defense allowing 69.6 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Portland St will look to leverage their home crowd. The Portland St are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 14.2-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Portland St winning by 28 to winning by 1. The market has this game at -6.5, but our model sees value on Portland St with a 7.8-point edge. Our line: Portland St -14.2. Combined with the total projection of 156 versus the market line of 146.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

EWU E Washington
Stat
PRST Portland St
10-17 (6-3)
Record
18-7 (10-2)
Last 10
78.0
PPG
77.7
80.6
Opp PPG
69.6

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
EWU Eastern Washington Eagles
+230 +6.5 O 146.5
PRST Portland State Vikings
-285 -6.5 U 146.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 22, 9:05 PM
Opening line: -6.5 / O/U 146.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
EWU Eastern Washington Eagles
+699 +14.2 O 155.7
PRST Portland State Vikings
-699 -14.2 U 155.7
Source: Model Updated: Feb 21, 5:08 PM

Our Picks

Spread L
Portland St (opened at -6.5)
58% Confidence
Total L
Over (opened at 146.5)
68% Confidence

Recent Trends

Portland St has been one of the more consistent teams this season with a 18-7 (10-2) record. Their 18-win campaign speaks to the quality of play they've maintained throughout the year. They've been solid on both ends of the floor and will look to continue that form in front of their home fans. It's been a difficult season for E Washington at 10-17 (6-3). Traveling to face Portland St presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Portland St

Advantages

  • Strong 18-7 (10-2) overall record this season
  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 77.7 PPG

Disadvantages

  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

E Washington

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 78.0 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 10-17 (6-3) record this season

More NCAAB Picks for Saturday, February 21, 2026