Delaware Blue Hens vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

This NCAAB matchup features Delaware Blue Hens (9-17 (4-9)) traveling to take on Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (12-14 (8-4)) at Murphy Center, Murfreesboro, TN. The MTSU hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Delaware by 6.9 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, MTSU averages 75.2 points per game, which exceeds what the Delaware defense typically allows (72.5 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Delaware scores 67.7 PPG but faces a MTSU defense that limits opponents to 73.1 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and MTSU will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects MTSU to win by approximately 6.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from MTSU winning by 20 to losing by 7. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

MTSU has struggled this season at 12-14 (8-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Delaware at 9-17 (4-9). Traveling to face MTSU presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.