Dartmouth Big Green vs Columbia Lions

This NCAAB matchup features Dartmouth Big Green (10-13 (5-7)) traveling to take on Columbia Lions (15-9 (8-3)) at Levien Gymnasium, New York, NY. The Columbia hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Dartmouth by 4.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Columbia averages 78.2 points per game, which exceeds what the Dartmouth defense typically allows (75.4 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Dartmouth offense puts up 76.6 PPG and faces a Columbia defense allowing 72.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Columbia will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Columbia to win by approximately 5.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Columbia winning by 19 to losing by 8. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Columbia enters at 15-9 (8-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Dartmouth at 10-13 (5-7). Traveling to face Columbia presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.