Chattanooga Mocs vs The Citadel Bulldogs

This NCAAB matchup features Chattanooga Mocs (11-17 (6-7)) traveling to take on The Citadel Bulldogs (9-19 (7-7)) at McAlister Field House, Charleston, SC. The Chattanooga hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the The Citadel by 7.8 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. The Citadel averages 69.4 points per game, but they face a Chattanooga defense that holds opponents to 74.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Chattanooga scores 75.4 PPG but faces a The Citadel defense that limits opponents to 76.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and The Citadel will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Chattanooga to win by approximately 3.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from The Citadel winning by 11 to losing by 17. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

The Citadel has struggled this season at 9-19 (7-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Chattanooga at 11-17 (6-7). Traveling to face The Citadel presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.