Binghamton Bearcats vs UMass Lowell River Hawks

This NCAAB matchup features Binghamton Bearcats (6-22 (5-8)) traveling to take on UMass Lowell River Hawks (12-15 (8-3)) at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex, Lowell, MA. The UMass Lowell hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Binghamton by 6.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, UMass Lowell averages 75.5 points per game, which exceeds what the Binghamton defense typically allows (75.0 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Binghamton scores 67.4 PPG but faces a UMass Lowell defense that limits opponents to 76.5 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and UMass Lowell will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects UMass Lowell to win by approximately 7.2 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from UMass Lowell winning by 21 to losing by 6. The market has this game at -9.5, but our model sees value on Binghamton with a 2.3-point edge. Our line: UMass Lowell -7.2. Combined with the total projection of 143 versus the market line of 146.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

UMass Lowell has struggled this season at 12-15 (8-3). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Binghamton at 6-22 (5-8). Traveling to face UMass Lowell presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.