SharpBetz
NCAAB

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Final Score Alabama A&M 76 - Bethune 85
Spread: L Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Alabama A&M Bulldogs (16-11 (11-3)) traveling to take on Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (14-13 (9-1)) at Moore Gymnasium (FL), Daytona Beach, FL. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Bethune averages 75.0 points per game, which exceeds what the Alabama A&M defense typically allows (71.1 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Alabama A&M scores 70.8 PPG but faces a Bethune defense that limits opponents to 77.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Bethune will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.3-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Bethune winning by 14 to losing by 13. The market has this game at -6.5, but our model sees value on Alabama A&M with a 6.2-point edge. Our line: Bethune -0.3. Combined with the total projection of 146 versus the market line of 143.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

AAMU Alabama A&M
Stat
BCU Bethune
16-11 (11-3)
Record
14-13 (9-1)
Last 10
70.8
PPG
75.0
71.1
Opp PPG
77.2

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
AAMU Alabama A&M Bulldogs
+210 +6.5 O 142.5
BCU Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
-258 -6.5 U 142.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 22, 9:05 PM
Opening line: -6.5 / O/U 143.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
AAMU Alabama A&M Bulldogs
+107 +0.3 O 145.8
BCU Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
-107 -0.3 U 145.8
Source: Model Updated: Feb 21, 5:08 PM

Our Picks

Spread L
Alabama A&M (opened at -6.5)
56% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 145.8 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Bethune enters at 14-13 (9-1), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Alabama A&M sits at 16-11 (11-3) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Bethune

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Defense allows 77.2 PPG — a vulnerability
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Alabama A&M

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels

More NCAAB Picks for Saturday, February 21, 2026