Binghamton Bearcats vs Duquesne Dukes
Sunday, November 15, 2026
Matchup Analysis
The decisive factor in this Duquesne‑Binghamton contest is the stark contrast in shooting profiles. Duquesne has been efficient inside the arc, posting a field‑goal percentage of 48.718 and a three‑point clip of 26.415, while Binghamton lags at 44.907 overall and 34.722 from deep, indicating a reliance on long‑range attempts that have yet to translate into consistent scoring.
The market spread of 16.5 points for Binghamton sits well above the model’s projection of a 9.8‑point margin, creating an edge of 6.66 points in favor of the away side. This discrepancy suggests the betting line has overestimated Duquesne’s advantage, leaving value on the table for those willing to take the Bears against the spread.
Historical performance further supports the upside. Binghamton Bearcats are a mere 7‑36 straight‑up against opponents above .500, a win‑percentage of 0.163 over a sample of 43 games, highlighting their struggles when facing stronger competition and underscoring the potential for a bounce‑back against a solid but not elite Duquesne squad.
The pick is Binghamton +16.5, a play.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BING Binghamton Bearcats | +850 | +16.5 | O 145.5 |
| DUQ Duquesne Dukes | -1450 | -16.5 | U 145.5 |
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BING Binghamton Bearcats | +331 | +9.8 | O 142.7 |
| DUQ Duquesne Dukes | -331 | -9.8 | U 142.7 |
Our Picks
Play to +10.6
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+145.50): This factor contributes +145.50 to the projection, favoring Duquesne.
- Combined Tempo (+68.96): This factor contributes +68.96 to the projection, favoring Duquesne.
- Home Streak (+3.00): This factor contributes +3.00 to the projection, favoring Duquesne.
- Away Streak (+3.00): This factor contributes +3.00 to the projection, favoring Duquesne.
Recent Trends
Duquesne Trends:
- Duquesne Dukes is 0-5 ATS after a loss vs a winning team
- Duquesne Dukes is 2-8 ATS vs teams above .500
- Duquesne Dukes is 8-2 straight up in their last 10 games
- Duquesne Dukes is 2-7 ATS at home after a loss
- The over is 1-4 in Duquesne Dukes's games after a loss vs a winning team
Binghamton Trends:
- Binghamton Bearcats is 7-36 straight up vs teams above .500
- Binghamton Bearcats is 3-12 straight up on the road as an underdog
- Binghamton Bearcats is 0-6 straight up double-digit underdog
- Binghamton Bearcats is 3-12 straight up underdog
- Binghamton Bearcats is 4-1 ATS after a loss vs a winning team
Matchup Edges
Duquesne
Advantages
- Strong 3-0 (3-0) overall record (100% win rate)
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Riding a 3-game winning streak with strong momentum
- Home record of 83% win rate at this venue
- Elite defense allowing just 66.7 PPG
Disadvantages
- Opponent's 70.0 PPG offense exceeds home defense (66.7 PPG) by 3.3
- Model sees 6.7-point edge favoring the away side
- Allowing 66.7 PPG on defense leaves room for opponent scoring
Binghamton
Advantages
- Strong 3-1 (1-0) record (75% win rate) this season
- Stout defense allowing just 66.5 PPG
- On a 3-game winning streak with rising confidence
- Road win rate of 60% -- proven road warriors
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Facing a home offense (72.7 PPG) that exceeds road defense (66.5 PPG) by 6.2
- Model win probability of just 23% on the road