Seton Hall Pirates vs 18 Alabama Crimson Tide
Saturday, November 14, 2026
Matchup Analysis
The shooting profile defines the most pivotal angle, with Alabama converting at a 47.887 field‑goal rate and 38.583 from three, while Seton Hall lags at 41.722 overall and 33.333 from beyond the arc. The disparity in efficiency gives the Crimson Tide a clear edge in scoring potential and defensive pressure.
Alabama’s ATS trend reinforces that advantage: the Crimson Tide are 21‑3 straight up at home as a favorite, a win‑percentage of .875 across a sample of 24 games. The pattern shows the Tide not only win but routinely cover the spread in familiar surroundings.
Scoring‑margin data widens the gap further. Alabama averages 102.0 points while allowing 76.0, producing a 26.0 margin. Seton Hall scores 67.0 and concedes 54.667, yielding a 12.333 margin, leaving a 13.667 point differential between the two squads. The numbers underscore a substantial superiority for Alabama on both ends of the floor.
Seton Hall +15.5 – play.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| HALL Seton Hall Pirates | +1200 | +17.5 | O 156.5 |
| ALA Alabama Crimson Tide | -2400 | -17.5 | U 156.5 |
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| HALL Seton Hall Pirates | +269 | +12.2 | O 169 |
| ALA Alabama Crimson Tide | -269 | -12.2 | U 169 |
Our Picks
Play to +13
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+156.50): This factor contributes +156.50 to the projection, favoring Alabama.
- Combined Tempo (+74.92): This factor contributes +74.92 to the projection, favoring Alabama.
- Pace Mismatch (+56.33): A 56.33-point pace mismatch could shape the game's flow, with Alabama's preferred tempo likely to dominate.
- Points Per Game Differential (+35.00): Alabama's per-game scoring advantage (35.00 PPG) indicates a more productive offense.
Recent Trends
Alabama Trends:
- Alabama Crimson Tide is 21-3 straight up at home as a favorite
- Alabama Crimson Tide is 28-6 straight up at home after a loss
- Alabama Crimson Tide is 90-22 straight up home
- Alabama Crimson Tide is 85-21 straight up with 2+ days rest
- Alabama Crimson Tide is 50-10 straight up in non-conference games
Seton Hall Trends:
- Seton Hall Pirates is 11-2 ATS with 2+ days rest
- Seton Hall Pirates is 10-2 ATS with 3+ days rest
- Seton Hall Pirates is 9-2 ATS vs teams above .500
- Seton Hall Pirates is 3-13 straight up vs ranked opponents
- Seton Hall Pirates is 1-5 straight up on the road on a back-to-back
Matchup Edges
Alabama
Advantages
- Strong 3-0 (3-0) overall record (100% win rate)
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Strong offense averaging 102.0 PPG
- Riding a 3-game winning streak with strong momentum
- Home record of 86% win rate at this venue
Disadvantages
- Defense allows 76.0 PPG -- a vulnerability opponents exploit
- Model sees 3.3-point edge favoring the away side
- Allowing 76.0 PPG on defense leaves room for opponent scoring
Seton Hall
Advantages
- Strong 3-0 (2-0) record (100% win rate) this season
- Stout defense allowing just 54.7 PPG
- On a 3-game winning streak with rising confidence
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Facing a home offense (102.0 PPG) that exceeds road defense (54.7 PPG) by 47.3
- Model win probability of just 27% on the road