Bryant Bulldogs vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Friday, November 13, 2026
Matchup Analysis
The decisive factor in this contest is Rutgers’ superior shooting profile. The Scarlet Knights convert 38.636 % of their three‑point attempts while Bryant manages just 25.984 %, and the overall field‑goal percentages stand at 50.833 % for Rutgers versus 38.326 % for the Bears. That disparity in efficiency promises a significant scoring edge for the home side.
A second, equally compelling angle is the scoring margin gap. Rutgers averages 91.0 points while allowing only 59.0, producing a 32.0‑point net margin. Bryant, by contrast, scores 62.5 points per game and yields 71.75, resulting in a –9.25 margin. The difference between the two margins is a staggering 41.25 points, underscoring the mismatch in offensive firepower and defensive resilience.
The turnover edge further widens the chasm. Rutgers forces just 9.5 turnovers per game, whereas Bryant hands the ball over 17.75 times, a differential of –8.25. Limiting possessions for the opponent while protecting the ball amplifies Rutgers’ ability to dominate the tempo and control the scoreboard.
Rutgers is the pick at -22.5, a play.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRY Bryant Bulldogs | +2000 | +22.5 | O 149.5 |
| RUTG Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -6500 | -22.5 | U 149.5 |
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRY Bryant Bulldogs | +908 | +28.2 | O 153.5 |
| RUTG Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -908 | -28.2 | U 153.5 |
Our Picks
Play to -29
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+149.50): This factor contributes +149.50 to the projection, favoring Rutgers.
- Combined Tempo (+71.06): This factor contributes +71.06 to the projection, favoring Rutgers.
- SOS-Adjusted Margin (+43.32): This factor contributes +43.32 to the projection, favoring Rutgers.
- Scoring Margin Differential (+41.25): Rutgers's scoring margin advantage of 41.25 points per game is one of the strongest statistical signals in this matchup.
Recent Trends
Rutgers Trends:
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 9-0 straight up at home as a favorite
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 31-4 straight up vs teams below .500
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 9-0 straight up favorite
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 7-0 straight up double-digit favorite
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights is 5-1 ATS after a loss vs a winning team
Bryant Trends:
- Bryant Bulldogs is 1-15 straight up on the road as an underdog
- Bryant Bulldogs is 5-20 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
- Bryant Bulldogs is 1-15 straight up underdog
- Bryant Bulldogs is 0-10 straight up in their last 10 games
- Bryant Bulldogs is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games
Matchup Edges
Rutgers
Advantages
- Strong 2-0 (2-0) overall record (100% win rate)
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Strong offense averaging 91.0 PPG
- Home record of 75% win rate at this venue
- Elite defense allowing just 59.0 PPG
Disadvantages
- Opponent's 62.5 PPG offense exceeds home defense (59.0 PPG) by 3.5
- Allowing 59.0 PPG on defense leaves room for opponent scoring
- Opponent still holds a 10% model win probability
Bryant
Advantages
- Points Allowed Differential contributes -12.75 points favoring away
- Net scoring margin of -9.2 PPG per game
- Model-projected win probability of 10%
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Struggling with a 1-3 (1-1) record (25% win rate)
- Anemic offense at just 62.5 PPG limits scoring ceiling
- Turnover issues at 17.8 per game, amplified in road environments
- 3-game losing streak compounds road challenges