Thomas College Terriers vs New Hampshire Wildcats
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
Matchup Analysis
The biggest factor is New Hampshire’s three days of rest versus Thomas Coll’s staggering 373 days on the sidelines. New Hampshire heads into the game with 3 days of rest while Thomas Coll has not played in 373 days, and neither team is coming off back‑to‑back games, as both home_is_b2b and away_is_b2b are false.
Shooting efficiency also tips the scale. The Wildcats are hitting 30.769 % from three‑point range compared with Thomas Coll’s 27.586 %, and they post a field‑goal percentage of 40.881 % against the visitors’ 23.729 %. Those numbers suggest New Hampshire can generate more quality looks on both the perimeter and inside the arc.
Beyond the numbers, New Hampshire’s recent non‑conference performance is impressive. The Wildcats are 20‑8 straight up in non‑conference games, a win percentage of 0.714 over a sample size of 28, indicating they consistently finish strong against comparable opponents.
There is no line offered and no side is selected; the recommendation is a pass.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
Market odds not available from ESPN for this game.
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| THMC Thomas College Terriers | -173 | -2.3 | O 115 |
| UNH New Hampshire Wildcats | +173 | +2.3 | U 115 |
Our Picks
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Rest Advantage (-370.00): The rest differential (370.00) gives Thomas Coll fresher legs, which typically matters most in second-half execution.
- Market Total Signal (+115.00): This factor contributes +115.00 to the projection, favoring New Hampshire.
- Pace Mismatch (+82.67): A 82.67-point pace mismatch could shape the game's flow, with New Hampshire's preferred tempo likely to dominate.
- Points Allowed Differential (+63.67): The defensive scoring differential (63.67 PPG) favors New Hampshire, who allows fewer points per game.
Recent Trends
New Hampshire Trends:
- New Hampshire Wildcats is 1-6 ATS vs teams below .500
- The over is 5-1 in New Hampshire Wildcats's games at home after a loss
- The over is 5-1 in New Hampshire Wildcats's games after a loss
- New Hampshire Wildcats is 33-15 straight up vs teams below .500
- New Hampshire Wildcats is 20-8 straight up in non-conference games
Thomas Coll Trends:
- Thomas (ME) Terriers is 0-5 straight up away
- Thomas (ME) Terriers is 0-5 straight up in non-conference games
- Thomas (ME) Terriers is 0-5 straight up in their last 10 games
Matchup Edges
New Hampshire
Advantages
- Strong 2-1 (0-1) overall record (67% win rate)
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Elite defense allowing just 63.7 PPG
- Market Total Signal contributes +115.00 points to home projection
Disadvantages
- Poor home record at just 25% win rate at this venue
- Model win probability of only 37% despite home advantage
- Allowing 63.7 PPG on defense leaves room for opponent scoring
Thomas Coll
Advantages
- 373-day rest advantage over opponent's 3 days
- Rest Advantage contributes -370.00 points favoring away
- Net scoring margin of +48.0 PPG per game
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Anemic offense at just 48.0 PPG limits scoring ceiling
- Turnover issues at 15.0 per game, amplified in road environments
- 5-game losing streak compounds road challenges