Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks
Thursday, November 12, 2026
Matchup Analysis
South Carolina’s superior shooting efficiency defines this contest. The Gamecocks convert at 48.148 percent from the field while limiting the Peacocks to 31.41 percent, and they knock down 34.146 percent of their three‑point attempts compared with Saint Peter’s 28.378 percent. That disparity in shooting performance sets the tone for what should be a lopsided encounter.
Both teams’ scoring metrics reinforce the advantage. South Carolina averages 79.5 points while allowing just 61.5, yielding an 18.0‑point margin. Saint Peter’s manages only 49.667 points per game and concedes 59.333, reflecting a –9.667 margin. The resulting gap of 27.667 points underscores the expected dominance of the home side.
Historical betting behavior offers a cautionary note. South Carolina Gamecocks is 3-19 straight up at home versus ranked opponents, a 0.136 win‑pct over a sample of 22 games. That stark straight‑up record suggests volatility when the Gamecocks face quality competition, even though the raw numbers favor them.
No line presents sufficient edge; the recommendation is to pass.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPU Saint Peter's Peacocks | +2200 | +22.5 | O 126.5 |
| SC South Carolina Gamecocks | -8000 | -22.5 | U 126.5 |
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPU Saint Peter's Peacocks | +880 | +19.1 | O 129.2 |
| SC South Carolina Gamecocks | -880 | -19.1 | U 129.2 |
Our Picks
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+126.50): This factor contributes +126.50 to the projection, favoring South Carolina.
- Combined Tempo (+62.50): This factor contributes +62.50 to the projection, favoring South Carolina.
- Pace Mismatch (+32.00): A 32.00-point pace mismatch could shape the game's flow, with South Carolina's preferred tempo likely to dominate.
- Points Per Game Differential (+29.83): South Carolina's per-game scoring advantage (29.83 PPG) indicates a more productive offense.
Recent Trends
South Carolina Trends:
- South Carolina Gamecocks is 3-19 straight up at home vs a ranked opponent
- South Carolina Gamecocks is 43-9 straight up in non-conference games
- South Carolina Gamecocks is 33-6 straight up vs teams below .500
- South Carolina Gamecocks is 3-19 straight up vs ranked opponents
- South Carolina Gamecocks is 14-2 straight up on a 3+ game win streak
Saint Peter's Trends:
- Saint Peter's Peacocks is 3-12 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
- Saint Peter's Peacocks is 1-4 ATS after a loss
- Saint Peter's Peacocks is 10-23 straight up in non-conference games
- Saint Peter's Peacocks is 12-26 straight up vs teams above .500
- The over is 3-7 in Saint Peter's Peacocks's games on the road as an underdog
Matchup Edges
South Carolina
Advantages
- Strong 2-0 (2-0) overall record (100% win rate)
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Strong offense averaging 79.5 PPG
- Elite defense allowing just 61.5 PPG
- Market Total Signal contributes +126.50 points to home projection
Disadvantages
- Model sees 2.4-point edge favoring the away side
- Allowing 61.5 PPG on defense leaves room for opponent scoring
- Opponent still holds a 10% model win probability
Saint Peter's
Advantages
- Stout defense allowing just 59.3 PPG
- Away Streak contributes -4.00 points favoring away
- Net scoring margin of -9.7 PPG per game
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Struggling with a 0-3 (0-1) record (0% win rate)
- Anemic offense at just 49.7 PPG limits scoring ceiling
- 4-game losing streak compounds road challenges
- Road win rate of only 20% away from home