Charleston Cougars vs Temple Owls
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
Matchup Analysis
The decisive factor is the stark shooting profile: Charleston posts a 32.812% three‑point clip and a 57.5% field‑goal rate, while Temple lags at 24.194% from deep and 38.053% overall. That efficiency gap translates into a clear advantage for the Cougars in any contest where scoring hinges on shot quality.
Temple’s offensive output averages just 60.5 points per game and it yields 67.5 points to opponents, generating a -7.0 margin. Charleston, by contrast, scores a blistering 111.5 points while allowing only 60.5, for a +51.0 margin and an overwhelming -58.0 gap between the two clubs. The defensive contrast is equally stark, with Temple conceding 67.5 points versus Charleston’s 60.5 allowed.
The market lines the moneyline at -105 for Charleston, and the model assigns a 0.661 win probability, creating a 0.149 edge that the system flags as a play. Meanwhile the spread metric shows the model favoring Temple by 2.4 points while the market lists Temple at -1.5, underscoring the moneyline mispricing. The convergence of shooting superiority, scoring differentials, and a measurable edge supports the recommended action.
Charleston is a -105 play on the moneyline.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| COFC Charleston Cougars | -105 | +1.5 | O 155.5 |
| TEM Temple Owls | -115 | -1.5 | U 155.5 |
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| COFC Charleston Cougars | -195 | -2.4 | O 172 |
| TEM Temple Owls | +195 | +2.4 | U 172 |
Our Picks
Play to -1.7
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+155.50): This factor contributes +155.50 to the projection, favoring Temple.
- Combined Tempo (+75.00): This factor contributes +75.00 to the projection, favoring Temple.
- Scoring Margin Differential (-58.00): Charleston's scoring margin advantage of 58.00 points per game is one of the strongest statistical signals in this matchup.
- SOS-Adjusted Margin (-55.02): This factor contributes -55.02 to the projection, favoring Charleston.
Recent Trends
Temple Trends:
- Temple Owls is 1-6 ATS after a loss vs a winning team
- Temple Owls is 2-8 ATS at home after a loss
- Temple Owls is 2-9 ATS vs teams above .500
- Temple Owls is 2-8 ATS after a loss
- Temple Owls is 4-9 ATS at home as a favorite
Charleston Trends:
- Charleston Cougars is 7-1 ATS on the road after a win
- Charleston Cougars is 6-1 ATS on the road as an underdog
- Charleston Cougars is 7-1 ATS after a win
- Charleston Cougars is 7-1 ATS with 3+ days rest
- Charleston Cougars is 9-2 ATS away
Matchup Edges
Temple
Advantages
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Elite defense allowing just 67.5 PPG
- Market Total Signal contributes +155.50 points to home projection
Disadvantages
- Limited offense averaging just 60.5 PPG
- Poor home record at just 33% win rate at this venue
- Opponent's 111.5 PPG offense exceeds home defense (67.5 PPG) by 44.0
Charleston
Advantages
- Strong 2-0 (2-0) record (100% win rate) this season
- Potent offense averaging 111.5 PPG
- Stout defense allowing just 60.5 PPG
- 5-day rest advantage over opponent's 3 days
- Road win rate of 100% -- proven road warriors
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Averaging 60.5 PPG allowed on defense