Bob Jones Bruins vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
Matchup Analysis
SC Upstate’s shooting profile dominates the conversation, with a 39.535 % field‑goal conversion rate that eclipses Bob Jones’ 25.758 % and a three‑point mark of 23.881 % versus 21.622 % for the visitors. The Spartanburg side is generating efficient looks inside the arc while also outshooting the Bruins beyond the line, a dual advantage that usually translates into a scoring edge.
Bob Jones’ recent ATS trend offers little encouragement; the Bruins are 0‑14 straight up away, a win‑pct of 0.0 across a 14‑game sample. Their road record reflects a perfect storm of defeats, suggesting that even a modest spread would be a steep climb for a squad that has yet to taste victory on the road this season.
Rest differentials tilt modestly toward the home team, with SC Upstate enjoying two days off compared with Bob Jones’ seven. Neither program is navigating a back‑to‑back stretch, but the additional recovery time for the Bruins does little to offset their broader struggles, while the Spartans can capitalize on a fresher footing in familiar surroundings.
The model passes on this matchup, offering no line and no side. The strength designation is pass.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
Market odds not available from ESPN for this game.
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOBJ Bob Jones Bruins | -405 | -11.9 | O 117.3 |
| UPST South Carolina Upstate Spartans | +405 | +11.9 | U 117.3 |
Our Picks
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+117.33): This factor contributes +117.33 to the projection, favoring SC Upstate.
- Pace Mismatch (+88.67): A 88.67-point pace mismatch could shape the game's flow, with SC Upstate's preferred tempo likely to dominate.
- Points Allowed Differential (+75.33): The defensive scoring differential (75.33 PPG) favors SC Upstate, who allows fewer points per game.
- SOS-Adjusted Margin (-63.06): This factor contributes -63.06 to the projection, favoring Bob Jones.
Recent Trends
SC Upstate Trends:
- South Carolina Upstate Spartans is 1-4 ATS vs teams above .500
- South Carolina Upstate Spartans is 28-13 straight up vs teams below .500
- South Carolina Upstate Spartans is 2-5 ATS at home as a favorite
- South Carolina Upstate Spartans is 14-6 straight up on a 3+ game losing streak
- South Carolina Upstate Spartans is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
Bob Jones Trends:
- Bob Jones Bruins is 0-11 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
- Bob Jones Bruins is 0-14 straight up away
- Bob Jones Bruins is 0-14 straight up in non-conference games
- Bob Jones Bruins is 0-13 straight up after a loss
- Bob Jones Bruins is 0-13 straight up with 2+ days rest
Matchup Edges
SC Upstate
Advantages
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Market Total Signal contributes +117.33 points to home projection
- Net scoring margin of -10.0 PPG per game
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 0-3 (0-1) (0% win rate)
- Defense allows 75.3 PPG -- a vulnerability opponents exploit
- Turnover-prone at 15.3 per game, creating extra opportunities for opponents
- On a 4-game losing streak -- confidence is fragile
- Poor home record at just 40% win rate at this venue
Bob Jones
Advantages
- 7-day rest advantage over opponent's 2 days
- SOS-Adjusted Margin contributes -63.06 points favoring away
- Net scoring margin of +52.0 PPG per game
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Anemic offense at just 52.0 PPG limits scoring ceiling
- Turnover issues at 16.0 per game, amplified in road environments
- 10-game losing streak compounds road challenges