The Citadel Bulldogs vs Wofford Terriers

This NCAAB matchup features The Citadel Bulldogs (9-21 (7-8)) traveling to take on Wofford Terriers (19-11 (10-4)) at Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium, Spartanburg, SC. The Wofford hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the The Citadel by 9.8 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Wofford averages 78.6 points per game, which exceeds what the The Citadel defense typically allows (76.7 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, The Citadel scores 68.8 PPG but faces a Wofford defense that limits opponents to 76.7 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Wofford will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Wofford to win by approximately 5.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Wofford winning by 18 to losing by 7. The market has this game at -12.5, but our model sees value on The Citadel with a 6.7-point edge. Our line: Wofford -5.8. Combined with the total projection of 147 versus the market line of 148.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Wofford enters at 19-11 (10-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for The Citadel at 9-21 (7-8). Traveling to face Wofford presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.