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NCAAB

Boston University Terriers vs American University Eagles

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Boston University Terriers (14-16 (9-5)) traveling to take on American University Eagles (16-14 (11-5)) at Bender Arena, Washington, DC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, American averages 75.0 points per game, which exceeds what the Boston U defense typically allows (74.3 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Boston U offense puts up 76.3 PPG and faces a American defense allowing 71.3 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and American will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects American to win by approximately 4.4 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from American winning by 17 to losing by 8. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

BU Boston U
Stat
AMER American
14-16 (9-5)
Record
16-14 (11-5)
Last 10
76.3
PPG
75.0
74.3
Opp PPG
71.3

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
BU Boston University Terriers
0 +2.5 O 141.5
AMER American University Eagles
0 -2.5 U 141.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 28, 5:43 AM
Opening line: -2.5 / O/U 141.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
BU Boston University Terriers
+183 +4.4 O 151.3
AMER American University Eagles
-183 -4.4 U 151.3
Source: Model Updated: Feb 28, 5:03 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -4.4 | Edge below threshold
Total
Over (opened at 141.5)
69% Confidence

Play to 150.5

Recent Trends

American enters at 16-14 (11-5), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Boston U at 14-16 (9-5). Traveling to face American presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

American

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Boston U

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 76.3 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 14-16 (9-5) record this season

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