Tennessee State Tigers vs UT Martin Skyhawks

This NCAAB matchup features Tennessee State Tigers (20-9 (10-2)) traveling to take on UT Martin Skyhawks (21-9 (12-2)) at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center, Martin, TN. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. UT Martin averages 71.3 points per game, but they face a Tennessee St defense that holds opponents to 75.3 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Tennessee St offense puts up 81.0 PPG and faces a UT Martin defense allowing 62.9 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and UT Martin will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects UT Martin to win by approximately 6.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from UT Martin winning by 20 to losing by 6. The market has this game at -2.5, but our model sees value on UT Martin with a 4.3-point edge. Our line: UT Martin -6.8. Combined with the total projection of 152 versus the market line of 143.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

UT Martin has been one of the more consistent teams this season with a 21-9 (12-2) record. Their 21-win campaign speaks to the quality of play they've maintained throughout the year. They've been solid on both ends of the floor and will look to continue that form in front of their home fans. Tennessee St sits at 20-9 (10-2) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.