South Carolina Gamecocks vs Georgia Bulldogs
Saturday, February 28, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features South Carolina Gamecocks (12-16 (11-7)) traveling to take on Georgia Bulldogs (19-9 (12-4)) at Stegeman Coliseum, Athens, GA. The Georgia hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the South Carolina by 11.1 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
On offense, Georgia averages 89.8 points per game, which exceeds what the South Carolina defense typically allows (76.2 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, South Carolina scores 76.2 PPG but faces a Georgia defense that limits opponents to 78.8 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Georgia will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Georgia to win by approximately 7.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Georgia winning by 20 to losing by 5.
The market has this game at -12.5, but our model sees value on South Carolina with a 4.9-point edge. Our line: Georgia -7.6. Combined with the total projection of 166 versus the market line of 159.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.
Team Comparison
SC South Carolina
Stat
UGA Georgia
12-16 (11-7)
Record
19-9 (12-4)
Last 10
76.2
PPG
89.8
76.2
Opp PPG
78.8
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC South Carolina Gamecocks | +625 | +12.5 | O 159.5 |
| UGA Georgia Bulldogs | -950 | -12.5 | U 159.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 28, 5:04 AM
Opening line: -12.5 / O/U 159.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC South Carolina Gamecocks | +271 | +7.6 | O 166 |
| UGA Georgia Bulldogs | -271 | -7.6 | U 166 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 28, 5:43 AM
Our Picks
Spread
South Carolina (opened at -12.5)
55% Confidence
Play to -8.4
Total
Over (opened at 159.5)
63% Confidence
Play to 165.2
Recent Trends
Georgia enters at 19-9 (12-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
It's been a difficult season for South Carolina at 12-16 (11-7). Traveling to face Georgia presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Georgia
Advantages
- Strong 19-9 (12-4) overall record this season
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Strong offense averaging 89.8 PPG
Disadvantages
- Defense allows 78.8 PPG — a vulnerability
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
South Carolina
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 76.2 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 12-16 (11-7) record this season