Seattle U Redhawks vs Loyola Marymount Lions
Sunday, March 1, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Seattle U Redhawks (18-12 (13-4)) traveling to take on Loyola Marymount Lions (15-15 (10-7)) at Gersten Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
On offense, LMU averages 74.9 points per game, which exceeds what the Seattle U defense typically allows (67.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Seattle U offense puts up 72.9 PPG and faces a LMU defense allowing 72.3 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and LMU will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.9-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from LMU winning by 14 to losing by 12.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
SEA Seattle U
Stat
LMU LMU
18-12 (13-4)
Record
15-15 (10-7)
Last 10
72.9
PPG
74.9
67.6
Opp PPG
72.3
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA Seattle U Redhawks | 0 ↓ | +1.5 | O 138.5 |
| LMU Loyola Marymount Lions | 0 ↑ | -1.5 | U 138.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 28, 5:44 AM
Opening line: -1.5 / O/U 138.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA Seattle U Redhawks | +108 | +0.9 | O 147.8 |
| LMU Loyola Marymount Lions | -108 | -0.9 | U 147.8 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 28, 5:05 AM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: -0.9 | Edge below threshold
Total
Over (opened at 138.5)
68% Confidence
Play to 147
Recent Trends
LMU enters at 15-15 (10-7), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
Seattle U sits at 18-12 (13-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
LMU
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Seattle U
Advantages
- Strong 18-12 (13-4) overall record this season
- Stout defense allowing just 67.6 PPG
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels