Saint Francis Red Flash vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils

This NCAAB matchup features Saint Francis Red Flash (7-23 (5-8)) traveling to take on Central Connecticut Blue Devils (17-11 (9-3)) at Detrick Gymnasium, New Britain, CT. The C Connecticut hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Saint Francis by 13.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. C Connecticut averages 74.5 points per game, but they face a Saint Francis defense that holds opponents to 81.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Saint Francis offense puts up 71.7 PPG and faces a C Connecticut defense allowing 71.2 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and C Connecticut will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects C Connecticut to win by approximately 9.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from C Connecticut winning by 22 to losing by 4. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

C Connecticut enters at 17-11 (9-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Saint Francis at 7-23 (5-8). Traveling to face C Connecticut presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.