South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs South Dakota Coyotes

This NCAAB matchup features South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-16 (9-4)) traveling to take on South Dakota Coyotes (15-15 (11-5)) at Sanford Coyote Sports Center, Vermillion, SD. The S Dakota St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the South Dakota by 3.7 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, South Dakota averages 80.3 points per game, which exceeds what the S Dakota St defense typically allows (72.5 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, S Dakota St scores 75.9 PPG but faces a South Dakota defense that limits opponents to 80.7 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and South Dakota will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.1-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from South Dakota winning by 12 to losing by 14. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

South Dakota enters at 15-15 (11-5), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for S Dakota St at 14-16 (9-4). Traveling to face South Dakota presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.